All markets
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
47%chance
- Yes46.5%
Outcomes
- Yes47%
46.5¢ per share
- No54%
53.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 46.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 46¢ | 47.23 | $21.73 |
| 45¢ | 232.76 | $104.74 |
| 44¢ | 1,482.75 | $652.41 |
| 43¢ | 619.9 | $266.56 |
| 42¢ | 171 | $71.82 |
| 41¢ | 130.99 | $53.71 |
| 40¢ | 220 | $88.00 |
| 38¢ | 183.92 | $69.89 |
| 37¢ | 817.45 | $302.46 |
| 36¢ | 51.94 | $18.70 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 47¢ | 866 | $407.02 |
| 48¢ | 700.91 | $336.44 |
| 49¢ | 373 | $182.77 |
| 50¢ | 144 | $72.00 |
| 52¢ | 462.3 | $240.40 |
| 53¢ | 980.01 | $519.41 |
| 54¢ | 1,068.74 | $577.12 |
| 55¢ | 841.38 | $462.76 |
| 56¢ | 247.07 | $138.36 |
| 57¢ | 836.2 | $476.63 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.