All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 12 to October 14, 2026?
7%chance
- Yes7%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
7.0¢ per share
- No93%
93.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 176.5 | $10.59 |
| 5¢ | 864.23 | $43.21 |
| 4¢ | 2,189.54 | $87.58 |
| 3¢ | 224.39 | $6.73 |
| 2¢ | 200 | $4.00 |
| 1¢ | 1,105.05 | $11.05 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8¢ | 1,159.54 | $92.76 |
| 9¢ | 533 | $47.97 |
| 10¢ | 509.91 | $50.99 |
| 11¢ | 348.6 | $38.35 |
| 12¢ | 2,163.91 | $259.67 |
| 13¢ | 67.92 | $8.83 |
| 14¢ | 554.4 | $77.62 |
| 15¢ | 423.98 | $63.60 |
| 17¢ | 281.13 | $47.79 |
| 18¢ | 1,310.09 | $235.82 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 12 12:00 PM ET to October 14, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.