All markets
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.6¢ per share
- No>99%
99.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.6¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.5¢ | 700 | $3.50 |
| 0.4¢ | 951 | $3.80 |
| 0.3¢ | 3,800 | $11.40 |
| 0.2¢ | 10,029.47 | $20.06 |
| 0.1¢ | 20,587 | $20.59 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.7¢ | 45 | $0.32 |
| 0.8¢ | 7.5 | $0.06 |
| 1.8¢ | 92 | $1.66 |
| 1.9¢ | 70.48 | $1.34 |
| 2¢ | 100 | $2.00 |
| 2.4¢ | 135 | $3.24 |
| 2.5¢ | 138 | $3.45 |
| 2.6¢ | 100 | $2.60 |
| 3¢ | 100 | $3.00 |
| 4¢ | 200 | $8.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.