All markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
13%chance
- Yes12.5%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
12.5¢ per share
- No88%
87.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 12.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 1,088.98 | $130.68 |
| 11¢ | 574 | $63.14 |
| 10¢ | 1,368.11 | $136.81 |
| 9¢ | 5,304 | $477.36 |
| 8¢ | 174 | $13.92 |
| 7¢ | 285.7 | $20.00 |
| 6¢ | 338.3 | $20.30 |
| 5¢ | 913 | $45.65 |
| 4¢ | 10 | $0.40 |
| 3¢ | 29,118.29 | $873.55 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13¢ | 568.89 | $73.96 |
| 14¢ | 671.17 | $93.96 |
| 15¢ | 200 | $30.00 |
| 16¢ | 250 | $40.00 |
| 17¢ | 498 | $84.66 |
| 18¢ | 100 | $18.00 |
| 19¢ | 136 | $25.84 |
| 20¢ | 1,678.95 | $335.79 |
| 23¢ | 206.75 | $47.55 |
| 24¢ | 80 | $19.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.