All markets
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
16%chance
- Yes15.5%
Outcomes
- Yes16%
15.5¢ per share
- No85%
84.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 15.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15¢ | 822.74 | $123.41 |
| 14¢ | 2,664.7 | $373.06 |
| 13¢ | 1,240 | $161.20 |
| 12¢ | 4,917.95 | $590.15 |
| 11¢ | 240 | $26.40 |
| 8¢ | 62 | $4.96 |
| 7¢ | 1,289.46 | $90.26 |
| 6¢ | 1,738.12 | $104.29 |
| 5¢ | 325 | $16.25 |
| 4¢ | 255 | $10.20 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 809.39 | $129.50 |
| 17¢ | 2,801.27 | $476.22 |
| 18¢ | 303.42 | $54.62 |
| 19¢ | 121.42 | $23.07 |
| 20¢ | 321.42 | $64.28 |
| 24¢ | 394.31 | $94.63 |
| 25¢ | 1,687.1 | $421.78 |
| 26¢ | 15.41 | $4.01 |
| 27¢ | 45 | $12.15 |
| 28¢ | 150 | $42.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.