All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 13 to October 20, 2026?
17%chance
- Yes16.5%
Outcomes
- Yes17%
16.5¢ per share
- No84%
83.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 16.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 27.74 | $4.44 |
| 15¢ | 1,305.01 | $195.75 |
| 14¢ | 203 | $28.42 |
| 13¢ | 90.8 | $11.80 |
| 12¢ | 460.97 | $55.32 |
| 11¢ | 1,475.11 | $162.26 |
| 10¢ | 5,895 | $589.50 |
| 9¢ | 129.99 | $11.70 |
| 8¢ | 105 | $8.40 |
| 7¢ | 285.7 | $20.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 151.63 | $25.78 |
| 18¢ | 366.8 | $66.02 |
| 19¢ | 266.51 | $50.64 |
| 20¢ | 2,001.91 | $400.38 |
| 21¢ | 267.98 | $56.28 |
| 23¢ | 70 | $16.10 |
| 24¢ | 35 | $8.40 |
| 25¢ | 453 | $113.25 |
| 26¢ | 413 | $107.38 |
| 27¢ | 353 | $95.31 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 13 12:00 PM ET to October 20, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.