All markets
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
99.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.1¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 11,792.47 | $11.79 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 3,597.71 | $7.20 |
| 0.3¢ | 7.29 | $0.02 |
| 0.4¢ | 169.82 | $0.68 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,536.08 | $7.68 |
| 0.6¢ | 42.45 | $0.25 |
| 0.7¢ | 159.02 | $1.11 |
| 0.8¢ | 189.31 | $1.51 |
| 0.9¢ | 505 | $4.55 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 1.4¢ | 37.01 | $0.52 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.