All markets
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.5¢ per share
- No>99%
99.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 261.5 | $1.05 |
| 0.3¢ | 131.09 | $0.39 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,464.55 | $2.93 |
| 0.1¢ | 8,137 | $8.14 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 198.79 | $1.19 |
| 0.7¢ | 32.49 | $0.23 |
| 0.8¢ | 112.9 | $0.90 |
| 0.9¢ | 36.87 | $0.33 |
| 1¢ | 10.08 | $0.10 |
| 1.1¢ | 12 | $0.13 |
| 1.2¢ | 47.81 | $0.57 |
| 1.3¢ | 97.77 | $1.27 |
| 1.4¢ | 42.49 | $0.59 |
| 1.8¢ | 39 | $0.70 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.