All markets
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from October 10 to October 12, 2026?
3%chance
- Yes2.5%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.7¢ per share
- No97%
97.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.9¢Spread 0.3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7¢ | 185.95 | $5.02 |
| 2.6¢ | 100 | $2.60 |
| 2.1¢ | 5.01 | $0.11 |
| 2¢ | 140.7 | $2.81 |
| 1.8¢ | 10 | $0.18 |
| 1.7¢ | 20 | $0.34 |
| 1.4¢ | 6 | $0.08 |
| 1.3¢ | 16.89 | $0.22 |
| 1.2¢ | 40 | $0.48 |
| 1.1¢ | 5 | $0.05 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3¢ | 76.45 | $2.29 |
| 3.2¢ | 11.74 | $0.38 |
| 3.3¢ | 13.16 | $0.43 |
| 3.4¢ | 205 | $6.97 |
| 3.5¢ | 48.32 | $1.69 |
| 4.6¢ | 5 | $0.23 |
| 4.7¢ | 32.21 | $1.51 |
| 4.9¢ | 9 | $0.44 |
| 5.8¢ | 10 | $0.58 |
| 6.3¢ | 10 | $0.63 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 10 12:00 PM ET to October 12, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.