All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
1%chance
- Yes1.1%
Outcomes
- Yes1%
1.3¢ per share
- No99%
98.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 0.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 421.1 | $2.53 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,027.1 | $5.14 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,225.1 | $8.90 |
| 0.3¢ | 4,718.34 | $14.16 |
| 0.2¢ | 8,022.2 | $16.04 |
| 0.1¢ | 18,633.1 | $18.63 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.3¢ | 508.77 | $6.61 |
| 1.4¢ | 10.57 | $0.15 |
| 1.5¢ | 9 | $0.14 |
| 1.6¢ | 105 | $1.68 |
| 1.8¢ | 5 | $0.09 |
| 1.9¢ | 9 | $0.17 |
| 2¢ | 105 | $2.10 |
| 2.5¢ | 105 | $2.63 |
| 3¢ | 5 | $0.15 |
| 3.4¢ | 139 | $4.73 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.