All markets
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.9%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.9¢ per share
- No>99%
99.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.8¢ | 9.44 | $0.08 |
| 0.6¢ | 362.38 | $2.17 |
| 0.5¢ | 1,906.1 | $9.53 |
| 0.4¢ | 2,635.1 | $10.54 |
| 0.3¢ | 7,336.1 | $22.01 |
| 0.2¢ | 15,645.72 | $31.29 |
| 0.1¢ | 20,819.1 | $20.82 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.9¢ | 453.03 | $4.08 |
| 1¢ | 11.65 | $0.12 |
| 1.2¢ | 5 | $0.06 |
| 1.3¢ | 194 | $2.52 |
| 1.4¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
| 1.6¢ | 199 | $3.18 |
| 1.7¢ | 50 | $0.85 |
| 1.8¢ | 156.63 | $2.82 |
| 2¢ | 105 | $2.10 |
| 2.5¢ | 5 | $0.13 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.