All markets
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.9%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.9¢ per share
- No94%
94.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.9¢Spread 1.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.1¢ | 204.63 | $10.44 |
| 5¢ | 13.18 | $0.66 |
| 4.9¢ | 31 | $1.52 |
| 4.8¢ | 21.9 | $1.05 |
| 4.7¢ | 5 | $0.24 |
| 4.3¢ | 32 | $1.38 |
| 4.2¢ | 74 | $3.11 |
| 4¢ | 113 | $4.52 |
| 3.8¢ | 150 | $5.70 |
| 3.5¢ | 109 | $3.82 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.8¢ | 20 | $1.36 |
| 6.9¢ | 152 | $10.49 |
| 7¢ | 333.5 | $23.35 |
| 7.1¢ | 100 | $7.10 |
| 7.2¢ | 6.17 | $0.44 |
| 7.3¢ | 5.98 | $0.44 |
| 7.6¢ | 100 | $7.60 |
| 7.7¢ | 100 | $7.70 |
| 7.8¢ | 374.39 | $29.20 |
| 7.9¢ | 20 | $1.58 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.