All markets
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
9%chance
- Yes9%
Outcomes
- Yes9%
9.0¢ per share
- No91%
91.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 9¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5¢ | 16 | $1.36 |
| 8.4¢ | 1,645.7 | $138.24 |
| 8.2¢ | 24 | $1.97 |
| 8.1¢ | 174.77 | $14.16 |
| 8¢ | 29 | $2.32 |
| 7.9¢ | 5 | $0.40 |
| 7.8¢ | 29.99 | $2.34 |
| 7.7¢ | 13 | $1.00 |
| 7.5¢ | 50 | $3.75 |
| 7¢ | 457 | $31.99 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.5¢ | 20 | $1.90 |
| 9.6¢ | 65.75 | $6.31 |
| 9.8¢ | 53 | $5.19 |
| 9.9¢ | 219.83 | $21.76 |
| 10¢ | 100 | $10.00 |
| 10.4¢ | 100 | $10.40 |
| 10.5¢ | 50 | $5.25 |
| 10.7¢ | 285.34 | $30.53 |
| 10.8¢ | 100 | $10.80 |
| 11¢ | 257 | $28.27 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.