All markets
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
14%chance
- Yes13.6%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
13.6¢ per share
- No86%
86.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.6¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.5¢ | 159.61 | $21.55 |
| 12.9¢ | 5 | $0.65 |
| 12.8¢ | 5 | $0.64 |
| 12.4¢ | 50 | $6.20 |
| 12.1¢ | 83 | $10.04 |
| 12¢ | 244 | $29.28 |
| 11.8¢ | 9 | $1.06 |
| 11.5¢ | 370 | $42.55 |
| 11.2¢ | 14 | $1.57 |
| 11.1¢ | 221 | $24.53 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 13.6¢ | 712.44 | $96.89 |
| 13.7¢ | 336.46 | $46.10 |
| 13.8¢ | 26.38 | $3.64 |
| 13.9¢ | 21 | $2.92 |
| 14¢ | 200 | $28.00 |
| 14.1¢ | 100 | $14.10 |
| 14.4¢ | 50 | $7.20 |
| 14.6¢ | 100 | $14.60 |
| 14.8¢ | 100 | $14.80 |
| 15.1¢ | 50 | $7.55 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.