All markets
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
18%chance
- Yes18%
Outcomes
- Yes18%
18.0¢ per share
- No82%
82.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 18¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 17¢ | 105 | $17.85 |
| 16¢ | 788.26 | $126.12 |
| 15¢ | 419 | $62.85 |
| 14¢ | 1,995.85 | $279.42 |
| 13¢ | 469.79 | $61.07 |
| 12¢ | 100 | $12.00 |
| 11¢ | 50 | $5.50 |
| 10¢ | 17.55 | $1.76 |
| 9¢ | 14.19 | $1.28 |
| 8¢ | 215 | $17.20 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 878.81 | $166.97 |
| 20¢ | 2,104.6 | $420.92 |
| 21¢ | 517 | $108.57 |
| 22¢ | 237.12 | $52.17 |
| 23¢ | 498 | $114.54 |
| 24¢ | 718.66 | $172.48 |
| 25¢ | 362 | $90.50 |
| 26¢ | 642 | $166.92 |
| 27¢ | 352 | $95.04 |
| 28¢ | 306.02 | $85.69 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.