
7%chance
6.8¢ per share
93.3¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6¢ | 100 | $6.60 |
| 6.4¢ | 100 | $6.40 |
| 6.1¢ | 120.54 | $7.35 |
| 6¢ | 6.05 | $0.36 |
| 5.6¢ | 128 | $7.17 |
| 5.5¢ | 100 | $5.50 |
| 5.3¢ | 47 | $2.49 |
| 5.2¢ | 150 | $7.80 |
| 5.1¢ | 20,176.31 | $1,028.99 |
| 5¢ | 100 | $5.00 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 7¢ | 1,873.36 | $131.14 |
| 7.1¢ | 5 | $0.36 |
| 7.7¢ | 100 | $7.70 |
| 8¢ | 10 | $0.80 |
| 8.2¢ | 100 | $8.20 |
| 8.7¢ | 9 | $0.78 |
| 8.8¢ | 561 | $49.37 |
| 8.9¢ | 9 | $0.80 |
| 9¢ | 107.37 | $9.66 |
| 9.2¢ | 9 | $0.83 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.