
3%chance
3.2¢ per share
96.8¢ per share
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1¢ | 20 | $0.62 |
| 3¢ | 100 | $3.00 |
| 2.6¢ | 50 | $1.30 |
| 2.5¢ | 292.89 | $7.32 |
| 1.9¢ | 9 | $0.17 |
| 1.8¢ | 119.99 | $2.16 |
| 1.7¢ | 9 | $0.15 |
| 1.6¢ | 107.92 | $1.73 |
| 1.5¢ | 8.68 | $0.13 |
| 1.2¢ | 200 | $2.40 |
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.3¢ | 77.58 | $2.56 |
| 3.4¢ | 14 | $0.48 |
| 3.5¢ | 9 | $0.32 |
| 3.6¢ | 115.53 | $4.16 |
| 3.7¢ | 100 | $3.70 |
| 4.5¢ | 100 | $4.50 |
| 4.9¢ | 100 | $4.90 |
| 5¢ | 300 | $15.00 |
| 5.4¢ | 10 | $0.54 |
| 5.5¢ | 300 | $16.50 |
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.