All markets
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from October 9 to October 16, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.3%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.3¢ per share
- No>99%
99.7¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.3¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.2¢ | 1,766.08 | $3.53 |
| 0.1¢ | 55,043.42 | $55.04 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 8,371.88 | $33.49 |
| 0.5¢ | 3,010 | $15.05 |
| 0.6¢ | 815 | $4.89 |
| 0.7¢ | 814.09 | $5.70 |
| 0.8¢ | 300 | $2.40 |
| 0.9¢ | 300 | $2.70 |
| 1¢ | 400 | $4.00 |
| 1.1¢ | 200 | $2.20 |
| 1.2¢ | 256.52 | $3.08 |
| 1.4¢ | 5 | $0.07 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 9 12:00 PM ET to October 16, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.