All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before March 31, 2027?
20%chance
- Yes20%
Outcomes
- Yes20%
20.0¢ per share
- No80%
80.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 20¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 497.52 | $94.53 |
| 18¢ | 2,275.57 | $409.60 |
| 17¢ | 396.73 | $67.44 |
| 16¢ | 131 | $20.96 |
| 14¢ | 36 | $5.04 |
| 9¢ | 225 | $20.25 |
| 8¢ | 1,000 | $80.00 |
| 7¢ | 448.67 | $31.41 |
| 6¢ | 2,416.67 | $145.00 |
| 5¢ | 2,618.75 | $130.94 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 21¢ | 189.53 | $39.80 |
| 22¢ | 2,079.57 | $457.51 |
| 23¢ | 386 | $88.78 |
| 45¢ | 36 | $16.20 |
| 57¢ | 67 | $38.19 |
| 58¢ | 112.5 | $65.25 |
| 59¢ | 500 | $295.00 |
| 63¢ | 222.48 | $140.16 |
| 64¢ | 988.81 | $632.84 |
| 67¢ | 703.12 | $471.09 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.