All markets
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.5%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.8¢ per share
- No>99%
99.3¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 0.5¢Spread 0.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.4¢ | 296.65 | $1.19 |
| 0.3¢ | 554.23 | $1.66 |
| 0.2¢ | 3,214.1 | $6.43 |
| 0.1¢ | 10,715.1 | $10.72 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.6¢ | 26.49 | $0.16 |
| 0.7¢ | 31.48 | $0.22 |
| 0.8¢ | 35.81 | $0.29 |
| 0.9¢ | 77.83 | $0.70 |
| 1¢ | 308.53 | $3.09 |
| 1.1¢ | 100 | $1.10 |
| 1.2¢ | 1,967.85 | $23.61 |
| 1.4¢ | 554.17 | $7.76 |
| 1.6¢ | 10.01 | $0.16 |
| 1.7¢ | 5.02 | $0.09 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.