All markets
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
3%chance
- Yes3%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.6¢ per share
- No97%
97.4¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.1¢Spread 1.2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 21.02 | $0.53 |
| 2.4¢ | 7.55 | $0.18 |
| 2.2¢ | 20 | $0.44 |
| 2.1¢ | 22.45 | $0.47 |
| 2¢ | 10.1 | $0.20 |
| 1.9¢ | 61.99 | $1.18 |
| 1.8¢ | 155.1 | $2.79 |
| 1.7¢ | 991 | $16.85 |
| 1.6¢ | 2,350.1 | $37.60 |
| 1.5¢ | 674 | $10.11 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7¢ | 16.22 | $0.60 |
| 3.8¢ | 92.34 | $3.51 |
| 3.9¢ | 500 | $19.50 |
| 4¢ | 505 | $20.20 |
| 5.7¢ | 62 | $3.53 |
| 5.8¢ | 322.93 | $18.73 |
| 6.9¢ | 62 | $4.28 |
| 7¢ | 200 | $14.00 |
| 7.5¢ | 100 | $7.50 |
| 8.8¢ | 10 | $0.88 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.