All markets
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
6%chance
- Yes5.9%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.5¢ per share
- No94%
94.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.4¢Spread 1.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.7¢ | 35.01 | $1.65 |
| 4.6¢ | 107.69 | $4.95 |
| 4.5¢ | 100 | $4.50 |
| 4.4¢ | 1,000 | $44.00 |
| 4.3¢ | 134 | $5.76 |
| 4.1¢ | 73 | $2.99 |
| 4¢ | 250 | $10.00 |
| 3.9¢ | 135 | $5.27 |
| 3.8¢ | 235 | $8.93 |
| 3.7¢ | 300 | $11.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1¢ | 15.26 | $0.93 |
| 6.2¢ | 126.03 | $7.81 |
| 6.4¢ | 28.72 | $1.84 |
| 6.5¢ | 173 | $11.25 |
| 7.4¢ | 500 | $37.00 |
| 7.5¢ | 37 | $2.78 |
| 7.6¢ | 37 | $2.81 |
| 7.7¢ | 100 | $7.70 |
| 9.6¢ | 15 | $1.44 |
| 9.8¢ | 10 | $0.98 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.