All markets
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026?
13%chance
- Yes13.5%
Outcomes
- Yes13%
13.4¢ per share
- No87%
86.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 13.7¢Spread 2.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.6¢ | 74.63 | $9.40 |
| 12.5¢ | 8.9 | $1.11 |
| 11.4¢ | 38.08 | $4.34 |
| 11.3¢ | 16 | $1.81 |
| 11.2¢ | 146.14 | $16.37 |
| 11¢ | 150 | $16.50 |
| 10.8¢ | 200 | $21.60 |
| 10.5¢ | 100 | $10.50 |
| 10.3¢ | 10 | $1.03 |
| 10.1¢ | 57.53 | $5.81 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 14.7¢ | 15.07 | $2.22 |
| 14.8¢ | 11.67 | $1.73 |
| 15¢ | 50 | $7.50 |
| 15.1¢ | 100 | $15.10 |
| 15.3¢ | 500 | $76.50 |
| 15.4¢ | 74 | $11.40 |
| 15.5¢ | 500 | $77.50 |
| 15.6¢ | 50 | $7.80 |
| 15.8¢ | 17 | $2.69 |
| 15.9¢ | 100 | $15.90 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 6 12:00 PM ET to October 13, 2026 12:00 PM ET. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.