All markets
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before November 30, 2026
4%chance
- Yes3.9%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
3.9¢ per share
- No96%
96.1¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 3.9¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.7¢ | 60.9 | $2.25 |
| 3.6¢ | 556 | $20.02 |
| 3.5¢ | 1,121 | $39.24 |
| 3.3¢ | 330 | $10.89 |
| 3.2¢ | 100 | $3.20 |
| 3.1¢ | 90 | $2.79 |
| 3¢ | 1,554 | $46.62 |
| 2.9¢ | 1,050 | $30.45 |
| 2.8¢ | 428.57 | $12.00 |
| 2.7¢ | 4,514.31 | $121.89 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.1¢ | 264 | $10.82 |
| 4.2¢ | 610.52 | $25.64 |
| 4.3¢ | 617 | $26.53 |
| 4.5¢ | 1,335.2 | $60.08 |
| 4.8¢ | 310.08 | $14.88 |
| 4.9¢ | 100 | $4.90 |
| 5¢ | 27 | $1.35 |
| 5.1¢ | 1,447.49 | $73.82 |
| 5.2¢ | 1,254.02 | $65.21 |
| 5.3¢ | 133 | $7.05 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Friedrich Merz ceases to be the Chancellor of Germany for any period of time by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Friedrich Merz's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be the government of Germany, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.