All markets
Saxony-Anhalt snap election called in 2026?
28%chance
- Yes28.5%
Outcomes
- Yes28%
28.0¢ per share
- No72%
72.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 28.5¢Spread 17¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 20¢ | 50 | $10.00 |
| 19¢ | 30 | $5.70 |
| 17¢ | 20 | $3.40 |
| 16¢ | 30.04 | $4.81 |
| 15¢ | 65 | $9.75 |
| 14¢ | 710 | $99.40 |
| 13¢ | 1,200 | $156.00 |
| 7¢ | 6.5 | $0.46 |
| 6¢ | 300 | $18.00 |
| 5¢ | 500 | $25.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 37¢ | 15 | $5.55 |
| 38¢ | 80 | $30.40 |
| 40¢ | 90 | $36.00 |
| 68¢ | 35 | $23.80 |
| 69¢ | 400 | $276.00 |
| 72¢ | 30 | $21.60 |
| 76¢ | 20 | $15.20 |
| 90¢ | 21 | $18.90 |
| 94¢ | 8.45 | $7.94 |
| 95¢ | 10 | $9.50 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if a snap election is called in Saxony-Anhalt by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The calling of a snap election requires the formal dissolution of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt, or another formal scheduling, according to the rules of the jurisdiction, of an election for all members of the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt prior to their scheduled election at the end of the legislative term. Dissolution by resolution of the Landtag, dissolution following a failure to elect a Minister-President, and any other means of dissolution provided for by the Constitution of the State of Saxony-Anhalt all qualify. An announcement of an intention to seek dissolution, a failed vote on dissolution, or the failure of coalition negotiations will not by itself qualify toward a “Yes” resolution. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Saxony-Anhalt and the Landtag of Saxony-Anhalt; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.