All markets
Will Tristan Buckmaster sue OpenAI by December 31, 2026?
21%chance
- Yes20.5%
Outcomes
- Yes21%
20.5¢ per share
- No80%
79.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 20.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 472.38 | $89.75 |
| 18¢ | 547.99 | $98.64 |
| 17¢ | 233.33 | $39.67 |
| 12¢ | 20 | $2.40 |
| 11¢ | 68.63 | $7.55 |
| 10¢ | 22 | $2.20 |
| 4¢ | 15.53 | $0.62 |
| 3¢ | 310 | $9.30 |
| 2¢ | 523.48 | $10.47 |
| 1¢ | 1,409.85 | $14.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 22¢ | 470.25 | $103.46 |
| 23¢ | 100 | $23.00 |
| 24¢ | 20 | $4.80 |
| 88¢ | 16 | $14.08 |
| 89¢ | 63.63 | $56.63 |
| 90¢ | 21 | $18.90 |
| 91¢ | 6.02 | $5.48 |
| 92¢ | 30 | $27.60 |
| 96¢ | 25 | $24.00 |
| 97¢ | 5.79 | $5.62 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Tristan Buckmaster files a lawsuit against OpenAI, or any of its subsidiaries, executives, or employees, by 11:59 PM ET of the date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A lawsuit in which Tristan Buckmaster is a named plaintiff, alone or jointly with others, will qualify. An announcement of intent to sue or a legal threat will not qualify; a lawsuit must actually be filed in court. The primary resolution sources for this market will be official information from the relevant court. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.