All markets
Will Lee Fairclough win the 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election?
44%chance
- Yes46.5%
Outcomes
- Yes44%
43.5¢ per share
- No56%
56.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 43.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 42¢ | 100 | $42.00 |
| 41¢ | 152.1 | $62.36 |
| 40¢ | 150 | $60.00 |
| 39¢ | 100 | $39.00 |
| 35¢ | 150 | $52.50 |
| 30¢ | 150 | $45.00 |
| 22¢ | 51 | $11.22 |
| 15¢ | 16.64 | $2.50 |
| 14¢ | 714 | $99.96 |
| 13¢ | 490 | $63.70 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 45¢ | 77.5 | $34.88 |
| 46¢ | 51.2 | $23.55 |
| 49¢ | 84.8 | $41.55 |
| 53¢ | 5 | $2.65 |
| 54¢ | 42.8 | $23.11 |
| 55¢ | 163 | $89.65 |
| 62¢ | 95 | $58.90 |
| 63¢ | 120 | $75.60 |
| 65¢ | 100 | $65.00 |
| 71¢ | 20 | $14.20 |
Rules
The 2026 Ontario Liberal Party leadership election is currently scheduled to conclude on November 21, 2026, with voting held from November 9 to November 20, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next leader of the Ontario Liberal Party as a result of this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder leaders appointed before the election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Ontario Liberal Party.