All markets
Will Elon Musk post 500-519 tweets in October 2026?
<1%chance
- Yes0.1%
Outcomes
- Yes<1%
0.1¢ per share
- No>99%
100.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint —Spread —
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| No bids | ||
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 0.1¢ | 1,360.26 | $1.36 |
| 0.4¢ | 1,300 | $5.20 |
| 0.5¢ | 200 | $1.00 |
| 0.6¢ | 500 | $3.00 |
| 1¢ | 10 | $0.10 |
| 2¢ | 10 | $0.20 |
| 6.8¢ | 120 | $8.16 |
| 6.9¢ | 40 | $2.76 |
| 12.2¢ | 400 | $48.80 |
| 12.4¢ | 40 | $4.96 |
Rules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026. For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count. Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker. Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes). Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total. The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com. Individual posts can be viewed by clicking "Export Data". If the tracker does not update correctly in accordance with the rules, X itself may be used as a secondary resolution source.