All markets
Will Waymo launch in Tokyo, Japan by December 31 2026?
4%chance
- Yes4.1%
Outcomes
- Yes4%
4.2¢ per share
- No96%
95.8¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 4.1¢Spread 4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.1¢ | 41 | $0.86 |
| 2¢ | 500 | $10.00 |
| 1.9¢ | 9.48 | $0.18 |
| 1.8¢ | 20 | $0.36 |
| 1.7¢ | 20 | $0.34 |
| 1.2¢ | 17.91 | $0.21 |
| 1.1¢ | 470 | $5.17 |
| 1¢ | 1,575 | $15.75 |
| 0.3¢ | 111.1 | $0.33 |
| 0.2¢ | 611.27 | $1.22 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.1¢ | 5 | $0.31 |
| 6.3¢ | 50.1 | $3.16 |
| 6.9¢ | 79.99 | $5.52 |
| 7¢ | 20 | $1.40 |
| 7.1¢ | 692.92 | $49.20 |
| 7.2¢ | 25 | $1.80 |
| 8.3¢ | 20 | $1.66 |
| 13.8¢ | 15 | $2.07 |
| 15¢ | 1,000 | $150.00 |
| 21¢ | 10 | $2.10 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Waymo begins offering its ride-hailing service to the general public within the listed city by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Any taxi service available to the general public which operates without a human driver actively controlling the vehicle will count, regardless of membership or other financial restrictions. A qualifying launch requires the general public be able to hail a Waymo vehicle within the listed city \ through the Waymo One app or another official Waymo platform (such as a dedicated website or integrated partner app like Uber). Limited pilot programs, internal employee testing, or invite-only service will not qualify. The primary resolution source is official information from Waymo, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.