All markets
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader by December 31, 2026?
8%chance
- Yes7%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 3¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6¢ | 308.5 | $18.51 |
| 5¢ | 998.96 | $49.95 |
| 4¢ | 2,820.75 | $112.83 |
| 3¢ | 3,345.86 | $100.38 |
| 2¢ | 10,270.31 | $205.41 |
| 1¢ | 10,704.27 | $107.04 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 537.17 | $48.35 |
| 10¢ | 1,251.31 | $125.13 |
| 14¢ | 904.48 | $126.63 |
| 16¢ | 3,594.28 | $575.08 |
| 21¢ | 1,000 | $210.00 |
| 33¢ | 79.52 | $26.24 |
| 38¢ | 70 | $26.60 |
| 48¢ | 150 | $72.00 |
| 50¢ | 1,107.21 | $553.61 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Nigel Farage ceases to be the Leader of Reform UK for any period of time between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of Nigel Farage’s resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect. The resolution source for this market will be information from Reform UK, however a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.