All markets
Will Disney+ Reach 150 million total users by September?
51%chance
- Yes51.4%
Outcomes
- Yes51%
51.4¢ per share
- No49%
48.6¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 51¢Spread 70.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 15.7¢ | 52.94 | $8.31 |
| 15.5¢ | 5 | $0.78 |
| 9.5¢ | 5 | $0.48 |
| 7.8¢ | 5.91 | $0.46 |
| 7.7¢ | 60 | $4.62 |
| 7.6¢ | 5 | $0.38 |
| 6.1¢ | 5 | $0.31 |
| 4.9¢ | 5 | $0.25 |
| 2.5¢ | 7.93 | $0.20 |
| 2.4¢ | 20 | $0.48 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 86.3¢ | 40.95 | $35.34 |
| 88.3¢ | 40 | $35.32 |
| 88.4¢ | 60 | $53.04 |
| 91.3¢ | 20 | $18.26 |
| 92.1¢ | 30 | $27.63 |
| 99¢ | 25 | $24.75 |
| 99.6¢ | 5 | $4.98 |
| 99.7¢ | 5 | $4.99 |
| 99.8¢ | 8.75 | $8.73 |
| 99.9¢ | 115 | $114.89 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Disney+ officially reports 150 million or more paid subscribers in its fiscal year 2026 annual report (10-K). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purposes of this market, the 150 million figure must be explicitly reflected in the total Disney+ paid subscriber count (combining both domestic and international subscribers) in Disney's official FY2026 10-K filing with the SEC, covering the fiscal year ending in September 2026. Analyst estimates, third-party projections, or figures from any other reporting period will not count. If Disney's FY2026 10-K has not been officially filed with the SEC by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or if the relevant figure is not included in the report, this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be Disney's FY2026 10-K filing on the SEC's EDGAR database (https://www.sec.gov/cgi-bin/browse-edgar?action=getcompany&CIK=0001744489&type=10-K).