All markets
Will an artwork sell for $150 million by December 31?
77%chance
- Yes76.5%
Outcomes
- Yes77%
76.5¢ per share
- No24%
23.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 76.5¢Spread 11¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 71¢ | 34.72 | $24.65 |
| 70¢ | 300 | $210.00 |
| 62¢ | 100 | $62.00 |
| 60¢ | 200 | $120.00 |
| 45¢ | 100 | $45.00 |
| 36¢ | 100 | $36.00 |
| 5¢ | 10.02 | $0.50 |
| 4¢ | 13 | $0.52 |
| 3¢ | 5.89 | $0.18 |
| 2¢ | 156.79 | $3.14 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 82¢ | 52.61 | $43.14 |
| 83¢ | 60 | $49.80 |
| 88¢ | 5 | $4.40 |
| 89¢ | 20 | $17.80 |
| 90¢ | 5 | $4.50 |
| 92¢ | 35 | $32.20 |
| 94¢ | 13.78 | $12.95 |
| 95¢ | 20 | $19.00 |
| 98¢ | 36.07 | $35.35 |
| 99¢ | 35.56 | $35.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single lot is sold at public auction for an all-in price (inclusive of buyer's premium) of at least $150 million at a major auction house between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a major auction house will be one of the following: Sotheby's. Christie's, or Phillips. If no such lot is reported by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve according to the official post-sales results as published on each auction house's official website. If the resolution source becomes permanently unavailable or no qualifying report is released by December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".