All markets
Will Iran recognize Israel by December 31?
3%chance
- Yes2.5%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.5¢ per share
- No97%
97.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.5¢Spread 1.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2¢ | 97.34 | $1.95 |
| 1.7¢ | 24.51 | $0.42 |
| 1.6¢ | 121.85 | $1.95 |
| 1.3¢ | 495.92 | $6.45 |
| 1.2¢ | 732.08 | $8.78 |
| 1¢ | 1,627.34 | $16.27 |
| 0.9¢ | 189.66 | $1.71 |
| 0.8¢ | 50 | $0.40 |
| 0.7¢ | 50 | $0.35 |
| 0.6¢ | 850 | $5.10 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1¢ | 119.99 | $3.72 |
| 3.2¢ | 642.08 | $20.55 |
| 3.4¢ | 579 | $19.69 |
| 3.8¢ | 207.9 | $7.90 |
| 4.1¢ | 868.2 | $35.60 |
| 4.2¢ | 349.04 | $14.66 |
| 4.4¢ | 850 | $37.40 |
| 4.6¢ | 5 | $0.23 |
| 4.7¢ | 63.28 | $2.97 |
| 5¢ | 1,152.63 | $57.63 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed country officially recognizes Israel as a state between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An announcement of intentions will not suffice to resolve this market to "Yes." Only a government's formal recognition of the State of Israel will count toward a “Yes” resolution for this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official government information. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.