All markets
Arc FDV above $10B one day after launch?
6%chance
- Yes5.9%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.9¢ per share
- No94%
94.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.9¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.8¢ | 148.3 | $8.60 |
| 5¢ | 40.5 | $2.03 |
| 4.3¢ | 30 | $1.29 |
| 3.5¢ | 40 | $1.40 |
| 3.1¢ | 90 | $2.79 |
| 2.7¢ | 300 | $8.10 |
| 2.6¢ | 2,539.19 | $66.02 |
| 2.2¢ | 5.36 | $0.12 |
| 2.1¢ | 60 | $1.26 |
| 2¢ | 11.2 | $0.22 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 5.9¢ | 13 | $0.77 |
| 7.4¢ | 30 | $2.22 |
| 8.1¢ | 179.34 | $14.53 |
| 8.5¢ | 150 | $12.75 |
| 19.5¢ | 9.93 | $1.94 |
| 19.6¢ | 60 | $11.76 |
| 99.3¢ | 38.57 | $38.30 |
| 99.4¢ | 45 | $44.73 |
| 99.5¢ | 22.21 | $22.10 |
| 99.6¢ | 500 | $498.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".