All markets
Arc FDV above $7B one day after launch?
11%chance
- Yes10.9%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
10.9¢ per share
- No89%
89.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.9¢Spread 3.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.4¢ | 91 | $8.55 |
| 5.8¢ | 62 | $3.60 |
| 4¢ | 5 | $0.20 |
| 2.2¢ | 7.69 | $0.17 |
| 2.1¢ | 8 | $0.17 |
| 1.9¢ | 94 | $1.79 |
| 0.8¢ | 22.07 | $0.18 |
| 0.7¢ | 285.71 | $2.00 |
| 0.5¢ | 51 | $0.26 |
| 0.4¢ | 6.75 | $0.03 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12.5¢ | 91 | $11.38 |
| 20¢ | 3.41 | $0.68 |
| 31.3¢ | 11.64 | $3.64 |
| 31.4¢ | 70 | $21.98 |
| 32¢ | 50 | $16.00 |
| 99.7¢ | 117 | $116.65 |
| 99.8¢ | 196 | $195.61 |
| 99.9¢ | 100,115 | $100,014.89 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".