All markets
Arc FDV above $5B one day after launch?
22%chance
- Yes21.5%
Outcomes
- Yes22%
21.5¢ per share
- No79%
78.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 21.5¢Spread 5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 19¢ | 217.65 | $41.35 |
| 16¢ | 45 | $7.20 |
| 14¢ | 40.21 | $5.63 |
| 10¢ | 31 | $3.10 |
| 6¢ | 66.66 | $4.00 |
| 5¢ | 43 | $2.15 |
| 4¢ | 73 | $2.92 |
| 3¢ | 9.97 | $0.30 |
| 2¢ | 260 | $5.20 |
| 1¢ | 10,093.27 | $100.93 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 24¢ | 211.65 | $50.80 |
| 27¢ | 29 | $7.83 |
| 37¢ | 27.24 | $10.08 |
| 38¢ | 12.9 | $4.90 |
| 40¢ | 30 | $12.00 |
| 41¢ | 50 | $20.50 |
| 68¢ | 1,727.75 | $1,174.87 |
| 76¢ | 50 | $38.00 |
| 79¢ | 1,714.28 | $1,354.28 |
| 89¢ | 27,418.15 | $24,402.15 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".