All markets
Arc FDV above $4B one day after launch?
31%chance
- Yes30.5%
Outcomes
- Yes31%
30.5¢ per share
- No70%
69.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 30.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 30¢ | 12 | $3.60 |
| 29¢ | 60.1 | $17.43 |
| 28¢ | 45 | $12.60 |
| 22¢ | 36.36 | $8.00 |
| 21¢ | 22 | $4.62 |
| 13¢ | 303 | $39.39 |
| 12¢ | 505.28 | $60.63 |
| 11¢ | 50 | $5.50 |
| 8¢ | 1,042 | $83.36 |
| 2¢ | 19.6 | $0.39 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 31¢ | 60.2 | $18.66 |
| 32¢ | 45 | $14.40 |
| 46¢ | 18.51 | $8.51 |
| 47¢ | 42 | $19.74 |
| 48¢ | 150 | $72.00 |
| 68¢ | 370 | $251.60 |
| 79¢ | 1,714.28 | $1,354.28 |
| 89¢ | 1,963.63 | $1,747.63 |
| 94¢ | 2,916.66 | $2,741.66 |
| 96¢ | 8.09 | $7.77 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".