All markets
Arc FDV above $3B one day after launch?
38%chance
- Yes38%
Outcomes
- Yes38%
38.0¢ per share
- No62%
62.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 38¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 37¢ | 285.77 | $105.73 |
| 36¢ | 229.9 | $82.76 |
| 34¢ | 761.88 | $259.04 |
| 29¢ | 1,000 | $290.00 |
| 25¢ | 32 | $8.00 |
| 22¢ | 570 | $125.40 |
| 21¢ | 20 | $4.20 |
| 20¢ | 1,095 | $219.00 |
| 15¢ | 686 | $102.90 |
| 14¢ | 22,499.93 | $3,149.99 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 39¢ | 125 | $48.75 |
| 40¢ | 259.9 | $103.96 |
| 48¢ | 19.23 | $9.23 |
| 49¢ | 9.08 | $4.45 |
| 50¢ | 1,000 | $500.00 |
| 66¢ | 27 | $17.82 |
| 68¢ | 10 | $6.80 |
| 69¢ | 1,129.03 | $779.03 |
| 71¢ | 26 | $18.46 |
| 72¢ | 2,366.71 | $1,704.03 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".