All markets
Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?
48%chance
- Yes44%
Outcomes
- Yes48%
47.5¢ per share
- No53%
52.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 44¢Spread 12¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 38¢ | 500 | $190.00 |
| 31¢ | 1,000 | $310.00 |
| 30¢ | 30 | $9.00 |
| 29¢ | 530 | $153.70 |
| 17¢ | 375 | $63.75 |
| 15¢ | 20,999.99 | $3,150.00 |
| 12¢ | 2,212.2 | $265.46 |
| 10¢ | 400 | $40.00 |
| 6¢ | 46,249.98 | $2,775.00 |
| 5¢ | 5.95 | $0.30 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 50¢ | 5 | $2.50 |
| 58¢ | 65 | $37.70 |
| 69¢ | 50 | $34.50 |
| 78¢ | 754 | $588.12 |
| 89¢ | 100 | $89.00 |
| 96¢ | 7.93 | $7.61 |
| 97¢ | 456.75 | $443.05 |
| 98¢ | 92,500 | $90,650.00 |
| 99¢ | 108,028.47 | $106,948.19 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".