All markets
Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?
61%chance
- Yes60.5%
Outcomes
- Yes61%
60.5¢ per share
- No40%
39.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 60.5¢Spread 1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 60¢ | 354.17 | $212.50 |
| 59¢ | 158.33 | $93.41 |
| 56¢ | 30 | $16.80 |
| 54¢ | 800 | $432.00 |
| 40¢ | 46.55 | $18.62 |
| 39¢ | 20.51 | $8.00 |
| 32¢ | 50 | $16.00 |
| 26¢ | 10 | $2.60 |
| 25¢ | 20 | $5.00 |
| 24¢ | 800 | $192.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 61¢ | 385.24 | $235.00 |
| 62¢ | 45 | $27.90 |
| 63¢ | 67.1 | $42.27 |
| 70¢ | 26.66 | $18.66 |
| 71¢ | 95 | $67.45 |
| 72¢ | 50 | $36.00 |
| 73¢ | 31 | $22.63 |
| 81¢ | 20 | $16.20 |
| 82¢ | 100 | $82.00 |
| 86¢ | 20 | $17.20 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".