All markets
Arc FDV above $800M one day after launch?
62%chance
- Yes62%
Outcomes
- Yes62%
62.0¢ per share
- No38%
38.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 62¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 61¢ | 130 | $79.30 |
| 60¢ | 121.8 | $73.08 |
| 58¢ | 41 | $23.78 |
| 51¢ | 19.6 | $10.00 |
| 50¢ | 120 | $60.00 |
| 49¢ | 50 | $24.50 |
| 47¢ | 7.5 | $3.53 |
| 46¢ | 222 | $102.12 |
| 32¢ | 20 | $6.40 |
| 31¢ | 1,129.03 | $350.00 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 63¢ | 70.2 | $44.23 |
| 64¢ | 45 | $28.80 |
| 67¢ | 5 | $3.35 |
| 68¢ | 5 | $3.40 |
| 74¢ | 30.76 | $22.76 |
| 76¢ | 5 | $3.80 |
| 85¢ | 800 | $680.00 |
| 86¢ | 270.87 | $232.95 |
| 89¢ | 341.06 | $303.54 |
| 97¢ | 11.09 | $10.76 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Arc's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Arc (https://x.com/arc) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".