All markets
Will Lee Jun-seok be arrested before 2027?
11%chance
- Yes11.2%
Outcomes
- Yes11%
11.1¢ per share
- No89%
88.9¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10.9¢Spread 19.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 1.2¢ | 33.3 | $0.40 |
| 1.1¢ | 350 | $3.85 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.5¢ | 51.69 | $0.26 |
| 0.4¢ | 256.52 | $1.03 |
| 0.3¢ | 427.16 | $1.28 |
| 0.2¢ | 1,040.14 | $2.08 |
| 0.1¢ | 2,944.01 | $2.94 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 20.7¢ | 0.61 | $0.13 |
| 35¢ | 20 | $7.00 |
| 59¢ | 2,000 | $1,180.00 |
| 60¢ | 2,000 | $1,200.00 |
| 85.9¢ | 14 | $12.03 |
| 87.9¢ | 5.54 | $4.87 |
| 88¢ | 100 | $88.00 |
| 88.9¢ | 300 | $266.70 |
| 89.9¢ | 5.35 | $4.81 |
| 98.9¢ | 15.84 | $15.67 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.