All markets
Will Brandon Johnson be arrested before 2027?
10%chance
- Yes10%
Outcomes
- Yes10%
10.0¢ per share
- No90%
90.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 10¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9¢ | 458.99 | $41.31 |
| 8¢ | 300.36 | $24.03 |
| 7¢ | 40 | $2.80 |
| 6¢ | 635.55 | $38.13 |
| 4¢ | 11.5 | $0.46 |
| 3¢ | 908 | $27.24 |
| 2¢ | 947.87 | $18.96 |
| 1¢ | 1,920.64 | $19.21 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 11¢ | 346.19 | $38.08 |
| 12¢ | 305.49 | $36.66 |
| 13¢ | 20 | $2.60 |
| 15¢ | 10 | $1.50 |
| 16¢ | 20 | $3.20 |
| 49¢ | 70.47 | $34.53 |
| 50¢ | 500 | $250.00 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
| 63¢ | 408 | $257.04 |
| 70¢ | 5,000 | $3,500.00 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.