All markets
Will Tom Homan be arrested before 2027?
8%chance
- Yes7.5%
Outcomes
- Yes8%
7.5¢ per share
- No93%
92.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 7.5¢Spread 2¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5¢ | 80 | $5.20 |
| 6.4¢ | 175.58 | $11.24 |
| 6.2¢ | 20 | $1.24 |
| 6.1¢ | 20 | $1.22 |
| 6¢ | 20 | $1.20 |
| 5.5¢ | 20 | $1.10 |
| 5.1¢ | 20 | $1.02 |
| 5¢ | 40 | $2.00 |
| 3.6¢ | 5 | $0.18 |
| 3.5¢ | 8.65 | $0.30 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 8.5¢ | 141.05 | $11.99 |
| 8.6¢ | 151.58 | $13.04 |
| 8.8¢ | 20 | $1.76 |
| 8.9¢ | 20 | $1.78 |
| 9.3¢ | 110 | $10.23 |
| 9.5¢ | 20 | $1.90 |
| 9.8¢ | 15.99 | $1.57 |
| 10¢ | 20 | $2.00 |
| 11¢ | 20 | $2.20 |
| 11.4¢ | 5 | $0.57 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.