All markets
Will Pam Bondi be arrested before 2027?
6%chance
- Yes5.5%
Outcomes
- Yes6%
5.5¢ per share
- No94%
94.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 5.5¢Spread 1.5¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 4.8¢ | 25.23 | $1.21 |
| 4.7¢ | 120 | $5.64 |
| 4¢ | 100 | $4.00 |
| 3.8¢ | 700 | $26.60 |
| 3.7¢ | 167.04 | $6.18 |
| 3.6¢ | 105.92 | $3.81 |
| 3.5¢ | 189.04 | $6.62 |
| 2.9¢ | 7.37 | $0.21 |
| 2.8¢ | 118.15 | $3.31 |
| 2.7¢ | 101.85 | $2.75 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.3¢ | 6.7 | $0.42 |
| 6.4¢ | 100 | $6.40 |
| 6.5¢ | 840 | $54.60 |
| 7¢ | 1,305.15 | $91.36 |
| 7.2¢ | 400 | $28.80 |
| 7.3¢ | 1,071.49 | $78.22 |
| 8.3¢ | 218.1 | $18.10 |
| 9.5¢ | 100 | $9.50 |
| 10¢ | 20 | $2.00 |
| 59¢ | 20 | $11.80 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.