All markets
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be arrested before 2027?
7%chance
- Yes6.6%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.6¢ per share
- No93%
93.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.6¢Spread 0.1¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.5¢ | 60.1 | $3.91 |
| 6.4¢ | 104 | $6.66 |
| 6¢ | 122.35 | $7.34 |
| 5.9¢ | 20 | $1.18 |
| 5.7¢ | 65.61 | $3.74 |
| 5.6¢ | 70.61 | $3.95 |
| 5.5¢ | 788.17 | $43.35 |
| 5.4¢ | 206.49 | $11.15 |
| 5.3¢ | 218.49 | $11.58 |
| 5.2¢ | 20 | $1.04 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 6.6¢ | 138.01 | $9.11 |
| 6.7¢ | 100 | $6.70 |
| 6.9¢ | 40 | $2.76 |
| 7¢ | 20 | $1.40 |
| 7.3¢ | 68.5 | $5.00 |
| 7.4¢ | 68.5 | $5.07 |
| 7.5¢ | 68.5 | $5.14 |
| 7.6¢ | 804.8 | $61.16 |
| 7.7¢ | 204.8 | $15.77 |
| 7.8¢ | 173.89 | $13.56 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.