All markets
Will Candace Owens be arrested before 2027?
7%chance
- Yes6.6%
Outcomes
- Yes7%
6.6¢ per share
- No93%
93.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 6.6¢Spread 6.7¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.2¢ | 11.52 | $0.37 |
| 2.8¢ | 7.4 | $0.21 |
| 2.7¢ | 20 | $0.54 |
| 2.2¢ | 20 | $0.44 |
| 1.8¢ | 5.56 | $0.10 |
| 1.7¢ | 20 | $0.34 |
| 1.3¢ | 7.38 | $0.10 |
| 1.2¢ | 20 | $0.24 |
| 0.8¢ | 8.48 | $0.07 |
| 0.7¢ | 20 | $0.14 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 9.9¢ | 5.54 | $0.55 |
| 10¢ | 30.34 | $3.03 |
| 96.9¢ | 11.7 | $11.34 |
| 97¢ | 2,000 | $1,940.00 |
| 97.9¢ | 2,016.25 | $1,973.91 |
| 99¢ | 2,000 | $1,980.00 |
| 99.2¢ | 12.5 | $12.40 |
| 99.3¢ | 299.28 | $297.19 |
| 99.4¢ | 16.66 | $16.56 |
| 99.5¢ | 91 | $90.55 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.