All markets
Will Susan Rice be arrested before 2027?
14%chance
- Yes14%
Outcomes
- Yes14%
14.0¢ per share
- No86%
86.0¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 14¢Spread 4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 12¢ | 16.66 | $2.00 |
| 11¢ | 247.58 | $27.23 |
| 9¢ | 142.85 | $12.86 |
| 5¢ | 9.36 | $0.47 |
| 4¢ | 47.83 | $1.91 |
| 3¢ | 400 | $12.00 |
| 2¢ | 479.48 | $9.59 |
| 1¢ | 968.64 | $9.69 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 16¢ | 115 | $18.40 |
| 17¢ | 200 | $34.00 |
| 19¢ | 499.99 | $95.00 |
| 40¢ | 50 | $20.00 |
| 45¢ | 100 | $45.00 |
| 49¢ | 20 | $9.80 |
| 50¢ | 300 | $150.00 |
| 61¢ | 20 | $12.20 |
| 64¢ | 320 | $204.80 |
| 65¢ | 3,607.14 | $2,344.64 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.