All markets
Will Loretta Lynch be arrested before 2027?
3%chance
- Yes2.5%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.5¢ per share
- No98%
97.5¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.5¢Spread 0.4¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.3¢ | 60 | $1.38 |
| 1.9¢ | 473 | $8.99 |
| 1.8¢ | 997.34 | $17.95 |
| 1.7¢ | 20 | $0.34 |
| 1.6¢ | 220 | $3.52 |
| 1.3¢ | 160 | $2.08 |
| 1.2¢ | 208.35 | $2.50 |
| 1.1¢ | 20 | $0.22 |
| 1¢ | 500 | $5.00 |
| 0.6¢ | 750 | $4.50 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.7¢ | 45.16 | $1.22 |
| 3¢ | 795.26 | $23.86 |
| 3.1¢ | 20 | $0.62 |
| 3.3¢ | 600 | $19.80 |
| 3.4¢ | 287.03 | $9.76 |
| 3.7¢ | 160 | $5.92 |
| 3.8¢ | 123.63 | $4.70 |
| 3.9¢ | 20 | $0.78 |
| 4.2¢ | 521.91 | $21.92 |
| 4.9¢ | 20.01 | $0.98 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.