All markets
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027?
3%chance
- Yes2.8%
Outcomes
- Yes3%
2.8¢ per share
- No97%
97.2¢ per share
Order book
Trade YesMidpoint 2.8¢Spread 0.6¢
Bids
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 2.5¢ | 3,179.88 | $79.50 |
| 2.4¢ | 509.1 | $12.22 |
| 1.8¢ | 220 | $3.96 |
| 1.7¢ | 4,173.8 | $70.95 |
| 1.5¢ | 2,881.57 | $43.22 |
| 1¢ | 150 | $1.50 |
| 0.7¢ | 800 | $5.60 |
| 0.6¢ | 2,700 | $16.20 |
| 0.5¢ | 3,970 | $19.85 |
| 0.4¢ | 4,687.5 | $18.75 |
Asks
| Price | Shares | Total |
|---|---|---|
| 3.1¢ | 1,232.03 | $38.19 |
| 3.2¢ | 67.19 | $2.15 |
| 3.3¢ | 99.96 | $3.30 |
| 3.4¢ | 500 | $17.00 |
| 3.6¢ | 2,000 | $72.00 |
| 3.7¢ | 463 | $17.13 |
| 3.8¢ | 307.9 | $11.70 |
| 3.9¢ | 100 | $3.90 |
| 4¢ | 231.2 | $9.25 |
| 4.1¢ | 1,767.1 | $72.45 |
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed individual is arrested by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A qualifying arrest/detention includes: * Being taken into physical custody by law enforcement authorities (including federal, state, local, military, or international law enforcement) * Voluntarily surrendering to law enforcement authorities in response to an arrest warrant * Being formally booked or processed following detention * Being handcuffed by a state authority and taken to a police station * Surrendering at a police station or courthouse with their attorney * Being placed under house arrest or electronic monitoring The following scenarios will NOT qualify as an arrest/detention * An arrest warrant being issued but not executed * Being briefly detained but not arrested (e.g. such as in the South Korean judicial system when an individual is awaiting a judge’s decision on whether to grant a detention warrant) * Being questioned or interviewed without arrest * Being named in an indictment without arrest The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the arresting government and law enforcement, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.